Visualizing Malaria Spread Under Climate Variability

نویسندگان

  • X. Liang
  • R. Aggarwal
  • A. Cherif
  • A. Gumel
  • G. Mascaro
  • R. Maciejewski
چکیده

In order to better control and prevent the infectious diseases, measures of vulnerability and risk to increased infectious disease outbreaks have been explored. Research investigating possible links between variations in climate and transmission of infectious diseases has led to a variety of predictive models for estimating the future impact of infectious disease under projected climate change. Underlying all of these approaches is the connection of multiple data sources and the need for computational models that can capture the spatio-temporal dynamics of emerging infectious diseases and climate variability, especially as the impact of climate variability on the land surface is becoming increasingly critical in predicting the geo-temporal evolution of infectious disease outbreaks. This paper presents an initial visualization prototype that combines data from population and climate simulations as inputs to a patch-based mosquito spread model for analyzing potential disease spread vectors and their relationship to climate variability.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Visualizing the uncertainty in the relationship between seasonal average climate and malaria risk

Around $1.6 billion per year is spent financing anti-malaria initiatives, and though malaria morbidity is falling, the impact of annual epidemics remains significant. Whilst malaria risk may increase with climate change, projections are highly uncertain and to sidestep this intractable uncertainty, adaptation efforts should improve societal ability to anticipate and mitigate individual events. ...

متن کامل

Modeling the Effects of Weather and Climate Change on Malaria Transmission

BACKGROUND In recent years, the impact of climate change on human health has attracted considerable attention; the effects on malaria have been of particular interest because of its disease burden and its transmission sensitivity to environmental conditions. OBJECTIVES We investigated and illustrated the role that dynamic process-based mathematical models can play in providing strategic insig...

متن کامل

The global spread of malaria in a future, warmer world.

The frequent warnings that global climate change will allow falciparum malaria to spread into northern latitudes, including Europe and large parts of the United States, are based on biological transmission models driven principally by temperature. These models were assessed for their value in predicting present, and therefore future, malaria distribution. In an alternative statistical approach,...

متن کامل

تاثیرپذیری رخداد بیماری مالاریا در ایران از شاخص اقلیمی ENSO

Background and Objective: Malaria is a disease affecting 300–500 million people in tropical and subtropical regions and causes approximately 2.7 million deaths annually. Currently, no vaccine protects against malaria and resistance to anti-malaria drugs such as chloroquine is increasing and spreading geographically. Moreover, anti-malarial drugs are expensive and often unaffordable to low-incom...

متن کامل

Malaria hotspots in Rwanda - relative influence of climate variability and interventions

Despite intense malaria interventions and associated decline of malaria transmission in Rwanda; potential for malaria transmission remain in highly endemic areas. As response, an integrated malaria control was introduced based on local ecology, malaria epidemiology and socio-economic factors. This strategy intends to sustain the achievements in malaria reduction by effective interventions in th...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016